T&S Asset Management

Philippines

Inflation rose to 7.8% in October, with core inflation at 5.4%, after the BSP raised its policy rate to 5.50%; banks' NPL ratio eased to 3.27% in September while consumer loans grew 16.2%.

Last updated
13 Nov 2026
Latest data as of
31 Oct 2026
Listen to the news: PhilippinesPlay the market reports back to back, newest first, while you commute or work.
Consumer loan NPL ratio5.49%up from 5.44% in June31 Jul 2026 · Inquirer: Bad loans up amid continuing consumer strain (2026-09-09)
Banking system NPL ratio
Preliminary BSP data as reported in the press; BSP may revise them.
3.27%down from 3.35% in August and 3.31% in September 202530 Sep 2026 · The Chronicle: Philippine banks' bad loan ratio eases to 3.27% in September (2026-10-29)
Gross international reserves
Figures as reported from the BSP release; BSP data are preliminary and may be revised.
USD 99.5bndown from USD 104.85bn at end-August and USD 109.06bn a year earlier; lowest since September 202330 Sep 2026 · Philstar: BOP deficit swells to $3.14 billion in September (2026-10-20), reporting BSP data
Reserves in months of imports
Figures as reported from the BSP release; BSP data are preliminary and may be revised.
6.2 monthsdown from 6.8 months at end-August30 Sep 2026 · Philstar: BOP deficit swells to $3.14 billion in September (2026-10-20), reporting BSP data
Headline CPI inflation (%)
024684.12026-037.22026-046.82026-056.42026-066.22026-076.12026-087.22026-097.82026-10
Headline CPI inflation (%)
2026-034.1
2026-047.2
2026-056.8
2026-066.4
2026-076.2
2026-086.1
2026-097.2
2026-107.8

Year-on-year change in the national consumer price index (PSA, 2018=100), monthly · Source: Philippine Statistics Authority, Summary Inflation Reports (2026-03, 2026-04, 2026-05, 2026-06, 2026-07, 2026-08, 2026-09, 2026-10)

Gross NPL ratio, banking industry (%)
012343.332026-023.292026-033.372026-043.442026-053.292026-063.352026-073.352026-083.272026-09
Gross NPL ratio, banking industry (%)
2026-023.33
2026-033.29
2026-043.37
2026-053.44
2026-063.29
2026-073.35
2026-083.35
2026-093.27

Gross NPL ratio of the Philippine banking industry, month-end, BSP preliminary data as reported in the press · Source: Philstar reports of BSP banking-industry NPL data (2026-02, 2026-03, 2026-04, 2026-05, 2026-06, 2026-07, 2026-08, 2026-09) Preliminary figures; BSP may revise them.

Loan growth, universal and commercial banks (y/y) (%)
05101510.72026-0311.42026-0412.12026-059.82026-0610.42026-07112026-0811.42026-09
Loan growth, universal and commercial banks (y/y) (%)
2026-0310.7
2026-0411.4
2026-0512.1
2026-069.8
2026-0710.4
2026-0811
2026-0911.4

Outstanding loans of universal and commercial banks, y/y at month-end, BSP preliminary data as reported in the press (total loans, not consumer loans) · Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas monthly bank lending data, as reported by Philstar/Inquirer (2026-03, 2026-04, 2026-05, 2026-06, 2026-07, 2026-08, 2026-09) The July report states the figures exclude reverse repurchase agreements with the BSP. Preliminary figures.

Real GDP growth, year on year (%)
0123442025Q332025Q42.82026Q12.42026Q22.12026Q3
Real GDP growth, year on year (%)
2025Q34
2025Q43
2026Q12.8
2026Q22.4
2026Q32.1

Real GDP, year on year, quarterly, PSA estimates as published with the Q3 2026 release · Source: PSA Q3 2026 national accounts (via Astig.ph and Philippine Canadian Inquirer) (2025Q3, 2025Q4, 2026Q1, 2026Q2, 2026Q3) Earlier quarters include PSA revisions published up to the Q3 2026 release.

Key topics

Consumer credit market

SSS LoanLite

BSP circulars on consumer credit and scams

  • BSP Circular No. 1133 (2021) caps the cost of unsecured, general-purpose loans of up to PHP 10,000 with a tenor of up to four months, granted by lending companies, financing companies and their online lending platforms. The caps are: nominal interest of 6% per month (about 0.2% per day); effective interest (including all fees and charges, excluding penalties) of 15% per month; late-payment or non-payment penalties of 5% per month on the outstanding scheduled amount due; and a total cost cap of 100% of the amount borrowed, whatever the time outstanding. SEC Memorandum Circular No. 14 (2025) lowered the effective interest cap to 12% per month for loans from 1 April 2026, keeping the other ceilings. BSP Circular No. 1133, Series of 2021 (16 Dec 2021)
  • BSP Circular No. 1165 (January 2023) amends Section 312 of the Manual of Regulations for Banks and Section 101-CC of the Manual of Regulations for Non-Bank Financial Institutions. It caps credit card interest or finance charges on unpaid outstanding balances at an annual rate of 36% (3% per month). It caps the monthly add-on rate on credit card installment loans at 1%. Apart from these interest caps, the only charge allowed on cash advances is a processing fee of at most PHP 200 per transaction. The ceilings are subject to BSP review every six months. BSP Circular No. 1165, Series of 2023 (13 Jan 2023)
  • BSP Circular No. 1215 (Series of 2025), approved by Monetary Board Resolution No. 523 of 22 May 2025, implements Sections 7–11 of R.A. 12010 (Anti-Financial Account Scamming Act). It lets BSP-supervised institutions temporarily hold funds in disputed transactions for up to 30 calendar days and requires a coordinated verification process. BSP Circular No. 1215 s.2025 (PDF) (30 May 2025)
  • BSP Circular No. 1214 (Series of 2025), approved by Monetary Board Resolution No. 522 of 22 May 2025, sets the rules of procedure for BSP inquiries into financial accounts under AFASA. The inquiries are conducted through the BSP Consumer Account Protection Office (CAPO). BSP Circular No. 1214 s.2025 (PDF) (30 May 2025)

GCash and Mynt

Each item cites an authority, an exchange or securities filing, or an international organisation. Checked 14 Oct 2026

Key indicators and definitions

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Compilers differ; compare like with like.
IndicatorValueDefinition and scopeBasis dateSourceDefinition and source
Consumer loan NPL ratio5.49%up from 5.44% in JuneNon-performing consumer loans as a share of consumer loans (BSP data)Philippine banking system31 Jul 2026Inquirer: Bad loans up amid continuing consumer strain (2026-09-09)
Definition and source

Non-performing consumer loans as a share of consumer loans (BSP data)

Scope: Philippine banking system

Source: Inquirer: Bad loans up amid continuing consumer strain (2026-09-09)

Banking system NPL ratio3.27%
Preliminary BSP data as reported in the press; BSP may revise them.
down from 3.35% in August and 3.31% in September 2025
Gross non-performing loans as a share of total loans (BSP data)Philippine banking system30 Sep 2026The Chronicle: Philippine banks' bad loan ratio eases to 3.27% in September (2026-10-29)
Definition and source

Gross non-performing loans as a share of total loans (BSP data)

Scope: Philippine banking system

Source: The Chronicle: Philippine banks' bad loan ratio eases to 3.27% in September (2026-10-29)

Gross international reservesUSD 99.5bn
Figures as reported from the BSP release; BSP data are preliminary and may be revised.
down from USD 104.85bn at end-August and USD 109.06bn a year earlier; lowest since September 2023
Gross international reserves, end of month (preliminary)Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas30 Sep 2026Philstar: BOP deficit swells to $3.14 billion in September (2026-10-20), reporting BSP data
Definition and source

Gross international reserves, end of month (preliminary)

Scope: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Source: Philstar: BOP deficit swells to $3.14 billion in September (2026-10-20), reporting BSP data

Reserves in months of imports6.2 months
Figures as reported from the BSP release; BSP data are preliminary and may be revised.
down from 6.8 months at end-August
Months of imports of goods and payments for services and primary incomeBangko Sentral ng Pilipinas30 Sep 2026Philstar: BOP deficit swells to $3.14 billion in September (2026-10-20), reporting BSP data
Definition and source

Months of imports of goods and payments for services and primary income

Scope: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Source: Philstar: BOP deficit swells to $3.14 billion in September (2026-10-20), reporting BSP data

Headline CPI inflation (PSA)7.8%up from 7.2% in September and 1.7% in October 2025Year-on-year change in the consumer price indexPhilippines, national31 Oct 2026Daily Tribune: Inflation rockets to 7.8% (2026-11-05)
Definition and source

Year-on-year change in the consumer price index

Scope: Philippines, national

Source: Daily Tribune: Inflation rockets to 7.8% (2026-11-05)

Unemployment rate (PSA)5.4%up from 5.3% in August 2026 and 3.8% in September 2025Unemployed persons as % of the labour force, Labor Force SurveyPhilippines, persons aged 15 and over30 Sep 2026GMA News: PH unemployment climbs to 5.4% in September 2026 (2026-11-06)
Definition and source

Unemployed persons as % of the labour force, Labor Force Survey

Scope: Philippines, persons aged 15 and over

Source: GMA News: PH unemployment climbs to 5.4% in September 2026 (2026-11-06)

Consumer loan growth16.2%unchanged from 16.2% in AugustYear-on-year growth of outstanding consumer loans to residentsUniversal and commercial banks30 Sep 2026The Manila Times: Bank lending expands but M3 growth slows (2026-11-06), via Newswav
Definition and source

Year-on-year growth of outstanding consumer loans to residents

Scope: Universal and commercial banks

Source: The Manila Times: Bank lending expands but M3 growth slows (2026-11-06), via Newswav

Real GDP growth (PSA)2.1%down from a revised 2.4% in Q2 2026 and 4.0% in Q3 2025Real GDP, year on year, quarterly, PSAPhilippines30 Sep 2026Philippine Canadian Inquirer: Philippine economic growth slows to 2.1% in Q3 2026 (2026-11-09)
Definition and source

Real GDP, year on year, quarterly, PSA

Scope: Philippines

Source: Philippine Canadian Inquirer: Philippine economic growth slows to 2.1% in Q3 2026 (2026-11-09)

Headline CPI inflation (PSA)6.1%down from 6.2% in July; fourth consecutive monthly slowdownYear-on-year change in the consumer price indexPhilippines, national31 Aug 2026GMA News: Inflation slows down for fourth straight month at 6.1% in August
Definition and source

Year-on-year change in the consumer price index

Scope: Philippines, national

Source: GMA News: Inflation slows down for fourth straight month at 6.1% in August

Unemployment rate (PSA)6.0%
Labor Force Survey.
up from 5.3% in July 2025
Unemployed persons as a share of the labour forcePhilippines, national31 Jul 2026PSA: Number of Employed Persons Rose to 49.21 Million as Underemployment Declined in July 2026
Definition and source

Unemployed persons as a share of the labour force

Scope: Philippines, national

Source: PSA: Number of Employed Persons Rose to 49.21 Million as Underemployment Declined in July 2026

Gross international reservesUSD 104.8bn
The BSP release could not be read directly.
USD 103.3bn at end-July
Gross international reserves, end of month (preliminary)Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas31 Aug 2026Philstar (2026-09-09), reporting BSP data
Definition and source

Gross international reserves, end of month (preliminary)

Scope: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Source: Philstar (2026-09-09), reporting BSP data

Reserves in months of imports6.8 months
The BSP release could not be read directly.
Months of imports of goods and payments for services and primary incomeBangko Sentral ng Pilipinas31 Aug 2026Philstar (2026-09-09), reporting BSP data
Definition and source

Months of imports of goods and payments for services and primary income

Scope: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

Source: Philstar (2026-09-09), reporting BSP data

Banking system NPL ratio3.35%
Preliminary BSP data as reported in the press; BSP may revise them.
unchanged from July; down from 3.50% in August 2025
Gross non-performing loans as a share of total loans (BSP data)Philippine banking system31 Aug 2026Philstar: Banks' bad loan ratio steady at 3.35% in August (2026-10-05)
Definition and source

Gross non-performing loans as a share of total loans (BSP data)

Scope: Philippine banking system

Source: Philstar: Banks' bad loan ratio steady at 3.35% in August (2026-10-05)

Headline CPI inflation (PSA)7.2%up from 6.1% in August; matches April 2026Year-on-year change in the consumer price indexPhilippines, national30 Sep 2026Inquirer: PH inflation climbs to 7.2% in September (2026-10-06)
Definition and source

Year-on-year change in the consumer price index

Scope: Philippines, national

Source: Inquirer: PH inflation climbs to 7.2% in September (2026-10-06)

Unemployment rate (PSA)5.3%down from 6.0% in July 2026; up from 3.9% in August 2025Unemployed persons as % of the labour force, Labor Force SurveyPhilippines, persons aged 15 and over31 Aug 2026PSA: Labor Force Survey — Unemployment rate declined to 5.3 percent in August 2026 (2026-10-07)
Definition and source

Unemployed persons as % of the labour force, Labor Force Survey

Scope: Philippines, persons aged 15 and over

Source: PSA: Labor Force Survey — Unemployment rate declined to 5.3 percent in August 2026 (2026-10-07)

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