T&S Asset Management

Philippine July unemployment at 6.0%, up year on year; underemployment falls

Published Data as of PhilippinesMacro & households
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Key points

Implications

ExecutivesJob quantity and job quality should be read separately; the unemployment rate alone is not a sufficient gauge of household stress.
InvestorsRising unemployment tends to show up in personal-loan and card arrears with a lag; watch credit costs over the next few quarters.
OperatorsSet conservative limits for applicants in cyclical sectors and contact existing customers early when salary credits stop.

Facts

Unemployment: the unemployment rate was 6.0% (up from 5.3% in July 2025); unemployed persons numbered 3.14 million (up about 0.55 million from 2.59 million in July 2025). Basis: July 2026. Source: PSA Labor Force Survey released 8 September 2026. 1

Participation: the labour force participation rate was 63.6% (up 2.9 pp from 60.7% in July 2025; 62.7% in April 2026), with a labour force of about 52.36 million. Employment was 49.21 million (up about 3.16 million from 46.05 million in July 2025). Same source.

Job quality: the underemployment rate was 12.9% (down from 14.8% in July 2025 and 15.2% in April 2026), or about 6.33 million people. Services accounted for 62.8% of employment. Same source.

Analysis

Year on year, employment rose up about 3.16 million from 46.05 million in July 2025 while unemployment also increased (up about 0.55 million from 2.59 million in July 2025). Participation rose (up 2.9 pp from 60.7% in July 2025; 62.7% in April 2026), so more people looking for work partly explains the higher unemployment rate. Regionally, the rate is double Malaysia's 3.0% (July, DOSM). In the same month, the banks' consumer-loan NPL ratio rose to 5.49% (BSP), so labour-market and credit-quality indicators are softening together.

Counterpoints and uncertainties

Higher participation means part of the rise is a 'benign' increase in unemployment, and lower underemployment signals better job quality. Linking the higher unemployment rate directly to weaker household repayment capacity may overstate the risk.

Key figures

  1. Unemployment rate (PSA): 6.0% (up from 5.3% in July 2025)
    Labor Force Survey.
    . Unemployed persons as a share of the labour force. Philippines, national. Basis date: 31 Jul 2026. Source: PSA: Number of Employed Persons Rose to 49.21 Million as Underemployment Declined in July 2026

Sources

  1. PSA: Number of Employed Persons Rose to 49.21 Million as Underemployment Declined in July 2026primary
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Reports are for information only and are not investment advice.

A Japanese version of this article is available: 日本語版

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